Optimized Trend Tracker (OTT)

A percent trailing stop around a fast adaptive average, drawn a couple of bars late; the trend is up while the average is above it. How AlgoLift computes OTT.

IndicatorBy AlgoLiftUpdated 4 min read
On this page 11What it measuresFormulaInputs in AlgoLiftOutputs in AlgoLiftHow to read itBest in, worst inThree setups1. Trade the support line crosses2. OTT as the trailing stop3. Skip the flat zoneCommon mistakes

TL;DR. A percent trailing stop around a fast adaptive average (Chande's VIDYA, the support line). The stop ratchets with the trend and flips when the average crosses it. OTT is that stop drawn a couple of bars late; the trend is up while the support line is above OTT, and their crosses are the signals.

What it measures

  • An adaptive average. The support line (VAR) moves fast when a 9-bar CMO shows strong momentum and slowly when momentum is weak.
  • A percent stop around it. OTT sits a fixed percent of the average below it in an uptrend and above it in a downtrend.
  • A flat zone. The same stop run on the highest high and the lowest low gives an upper and a lower line; between them the market has no clear side.

Formula

Inputs in AlgoLift

SettingDefaultRangeNotes
Period21 to 500Base length of the VAR average. The published default.
Percent1.40.1 to 50Distance of the stop from VAR, in percent of VAR.
Delay20 to 10Bars OTT is drawn late. 0 gives the Moving Stop Loss.
High/Low Window101 to 500Bars in the highest high and lowest low the upper and lower lines track.
SourceCloseClose, Open, High, Low, HL2, HLC3, OHLC4Which value of each bar VAR averages.

Outputs in AlgoLift

HandleTypePlottedNotes
OTTNumericAlwaysThe percent stop around the support line, drawn the delay's bars late.
Support LineNumericAlwaysThe VAR (VIDYA) average the stop is built around.
Upper (high)NumericOn selectThe same stop on the highest high: a close above it reads as an uptrend.
Lower (low)NumericOn selectThe same stop on the lowest low: a close below it reads as a downtrend.
DirectionNumericOn select1 while the support line is above OTT, -1 while below; it holds when they are equal.
SignalNumericAlways+1 when the support line crosses above OTT, -1 when it crosses below, 0 elsewhere. Drawn as markers on the chart.

How to read it

  • Support line above OTT: the trend is up. The gap between them shows how far the average has run from its stop.
  • Support line crossing OTT: a signal. The delay makes OTT lag, so the cross confirms a turn the stop has already made.
  • Close between Upper and Lower: the flat zone, where neither side holds.
  • Percent setting: the larger it is, the fewer the flips and the later each one.
Common Misconception
Myth
OTT's delay makes it a forecast, since the line is shifted.
Reality
The delay shifts the stop to the right, later in time, never earlier. It makes the support line cross OTT a little after the stop itself flipped, which filters out one-bar flips at the cost of lag.

Best in, worst in

Best in steady trends, where a percent stop around a fast average stays on one side for long stretches.

Worst in instruments whose price level changes a lot across the test, since a fixed percent means a different number of points at 2,000 than at 5,000; and in chop, where the support line crosses OTT back and forth.

Three setups

1. Trade the support line crosses

Wire Signal into a Comparison greater than 0 for the long Entry and less than 0 for the short.

2. OTT as the trailing stop

Enter with another rule and exit a long through Set Exit Condition when the close falls below OTT.

3. Skip the flat zone

AND an entry with the close above Upper (high) for longs or below Lower (low) for shorts, so the strategy waits out the zone between them.

Common mistakes

  • Using OTT with no delay and expecting the published behaviour. A delay of 0 is the Moving Stop Loss, which flips sooner and more often.
  • Fine-tuning the percent. Look for a range of percents that works, not one value (overfitting in trading).
  • Ignoring the price level. A percent stop on a contract that doubled in price is twice as wide in points by the end of the test.
Key Takeaway

OTT is a percent trailing stop around an adaptive average, drawn late; the support line against OTT gives the trend and the signals.